tyler-smith.com · Questions & Answers

The buy-side QofE firm is looking at our customer retention and claiming our high churn rate in our smaller tier represents a systemic business risk. How do we use an IVS 105 income approach or customer cohort analysis to prove our core enterprise accounts are highly stable?

Buyers love to focus on high-level, aggregate churn metrics to justify discounting your valuation. If you let them lump your small-tier, self-service customers in with your high-value enterprise accounts, they will paint your business as unstable. You must dissect your data to expose the flaw in their analysis.

Under IVS 105, the income approach allows you to project future cash flows based on the economic life and stability of specific assets. To prove the quality of your earnings, perform a detailed customer cohort analysis that separates your revenue streams. Group your clients by contract size, longevity, and cost to acquire.

Show the buyer that while your low-ticket, small-tier accounts have higher churn, your core enterprise tier has near-zero churn and a high lifetime value. This demonstrates that your core economic engine is incredibly stable.

Use this data to build a multi-scenario income model under IVS 105. Demonstrate that even if you completely shut down the small-tier segment, the enterprise segment alone produces predictable, recurring cash flows that justify your premium multiple. Presenting this clean, cohort-specific data strips the buy-side auditor of their risk argument. You prove that your operational stability resides in a highly secure, institutional-grade customer base, preventing the buyer from using minor customer churn as a tool to chip away at your enterprise value.

Category: Valuation & Deal Structure

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