tyler-smith.com · Questions & Answers

How does starting an exit runway five years out allow us to fix severe customer concentration issues without destroying our baseline enterprise value?

Institutional buyers heavily discount businesses where a single client represents more than fifteen percent of total revenue. If that client walks away post-sale, the company cannot service its debt, turning the acquisition into an immediate failure.

Fixing severe customer concentration is not an operational sprint. You cannot simply fire a client that generates thirty percent of your margin, because doing so crushes your baseline EBITDA right before you go to market. Conversely, you cannot rapidly double your other accounts in twelve months without breaking your capacity, diluting quality, and causing employee turnover.

A five-year runway gives you the breathing room to systematically dilute concentration without sacrificing cash flow. In Year 1 and Year 2, you use your V/TO to define strict target market criteria and focus your Sales seat entirely on non-correlated accounts. You treat capacity expansion as a series of 90-day Rocks, scaling your operations to service new enterprise customers cleanly.

By Year 3 and Year 4, as new customer revenue matures, your reliance on that anchor client drops naturally from thirty-five percent to under twelve percent of total billings. You maintain your historical margins while demonstrating to prospective buyers that your customer acquisition engine is repeatable, predictable, and fully diversified.

Trying to solve this problem eighteen months before listing forces you to choose between defending your valuation multiple or defending your cash flow. Starting five years out lets you secure both.

Category: Exit Planning

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