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A private equity firm requires us to roll twenty-five percent of our equity into their new platform company, pitching a lucrative second bite at the apple, while a corporate strategic buyer offers a lower all-cash valuation. How do we evaluate the true financial risk of rollover equity?

Rollover equity is frequently pitched as high-upside reinvestment, but in reality, it represents subordinated, illiquid equity in a heavily leveraged entity. While financial sponsors market the second bite at the apple through multiple arbitrage and debt paydown, that return sits behind senior bank facilities, sponsor management fees, and preferred returns.

To evaluate rollover risk, analyze the sponsor's capital stack. Determine whether your rolled units are pari passu with the sponsor's common equity or subordinated beneath preferred units that accrue compounding eight-to-ten percent hurdle rates. If the platform experiences operational headwinds, preferred returns can wipe out common rollover equity entirely.

Next, evaluate governance protections. Insist on tag-along rights that guarantee you can sell your equity on the same terms and at the same time as the private equity firm. Require drag-along limits, robust information rights, and protective provisions against equity dilution in subsequent funding rounds.

Compare the risk-adjusted value of that equity against the strategic buyer's all-cash offer. Cash at closing delivers certain liquidity with zero post-closing capital structure risk. You should only accept rollover equity if you believe in the platform thesis, respect the leadership executing it, and are prepared to write down that equity if integration falters.

Category: Valuation & Deal Structure

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