tyler-smith.com · Questions & Answers

Our investment banker wants to use a discounted future earnings model to justify our valuation, but the buyer's advisor is pushing a simple capitalization of historical earnings. How do we defend our forward-looking projections to get paid for our future growth?

Buyers prefer historical capitalization of earnings because it is backward-looking, verified, and carries lower perceived risk. To defend a valuation based on discounted future earnings, you must prove that your projected cash flows are highly predictable, not speculative wishes.

Do this by providing concrete operational proof points. Use your EOS Vision/Traction Organizer, or V/TO, to show the buyer your documented three-year picture and one-year plan. Prove that your historical performance has consistently hit your targets, which establishes your credibility as a planning leadership team.

Support your growth model with unit economics. Show the buyer your customer acquisition costs, customer lifetime value, and contractually committed backlog. If you have integrated AI-powered automation that lowers your service delivery cost as you scale, show how your gross margins will expand. When you present a growth model backed by real operational systems, the buyer will find it difficult to argue that your projections are unrealistic.

Category: Valuation & Deal Structure

← All questions